CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-04-27T14:53:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-04-27T14:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19953/-1
CME Note: An eruption from the vicinity of AR2996 was observed using Stereo-A EUVI imagery around 2022-04-27T14:00Z, since a maneuver/calibration at SDO was occurring at the time of the eruption.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-04-29T23:27Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-29T18:35Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 970.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 1037.71 Acceleration: -2.55056 Duration in seconds: 186161.12 Duration in days: 2.1546426 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -2.55 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 562.9 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 29/04/2022 Time: 18:35 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 50.45 hour(s)
Difference: 4.87 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2022-04-27T21:00Z
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